Analysis

(Vučić’s Moralizing at the UN General Assembly as Pressure on the West) Once upon a time, there was a cunning minister who had crafted the packaging for his boss’s campaign of terror. Thirty years later, at the heart of world diplomacy, he tried to put those who stopped the terror, ethnic cleansing and genocide in […]

(Institutional Capacity, Democratic Oversight, and Public Trust) Gjon Culaj, Associate Fellow at the “Octopus” Institute The recent arrests and criminal proceedings involving allegations and convictions related to espionage in Kosovo have opened an important debate about the capabilities of the country’s security institutions, the nature of intelligence threats, the role of the public and the

The riots of 17–18 March 2004 were initiated by Serbia and manipulated the anger of the masses to create a new situation in Kosovo, one that had to do with its cantonization. 16 September 2026 may have been the second occasion for creating a “March 2”, with the aim of weakening, dividing and dismantling the

(The KLA and the Geopolitical Battle for the Republic of Kosovo) On 16 September 2026, the Specialist Chambers in The Hague will deliver the judgment against four leaders of the Kosovo Liberation Army: Hashim Thaçi, Kadri Veseli, Rexhep Selimi, and Jakup Krasniqi. Nearly six years of detention and more than three years of trial proceedings

Danilo Kalezic University of Montenegro Kalezic13@gmail.com Overview: This analysis examines the evolving nature of Russian and Serbian influence in Montenegro and argues that their strategic interests are increasingly diverging as the country advances toward European Union membership. Drawing on the literature on authoritarian diffusion, external anti-democratic influence, and the black knight effect, the paper analyzes

From the SANU Memorandum to the “Serbian World”: Victimhood, Nationalism, and the Threat to Regional Peace. Gjon Culaj, Associate Fellow at the “Octopus” Institute Four decades after the Memorandum of the Serbian Academy of Sciences and Arts (SANU), the question that still merits attention is: how does Serbian nationalism conceive Kosovo, Serbs outside Serbia’s borders,

(Water as a Weapon in Serbia’s Hybrid Strategy) A statement containing fascistic elements that constitutes yet another direct threat against Kosovo. Vucic revealed his plan for the “protection of Serbs,” using water as an instrument of pressure: “We will change the course of the Ibar River, and then we will see what the Albanians will

(The Serbian Strategy for “Capturing the Truth” in the Digital Age) A hybrid strategy that simultaneously projects victimhood and heroism. It wraps lamentation and triumphalist framing into a single, calculated narrative designed to deceive and mobilize at the same time. One only needs to observe Vucic’s media ecosystem for a single day to experience the

Gjon Culaj, Associate Fellow at the “Octopus” Institute Coercive diplomacy is a concept that was developed primarily after the Cold War within the fields of strategic studies and international relations. Unlike the direct use of military force, it seeks to achieve political objectives by combining diplomatic negotiations with a credible threat of the use of

(Serbia’s Operation Against Kosovo, Montenegro, and the West) Although the recognition of a state falls within the exclusive competence of central government institutions, and the declarations adopted by the municipalities of Zeta and, more recently, Pljevlja on the “withdrawal of recognition” of Kosovo have no legal effect, Serbia continues to use municipalities where it enjoys